NBA / Matchups / Hawks vs Rockets

Atlanta Hawks at Houston Rockets

Next meeting: Monday, October 26 at 8:30 PM ET. Our model gives Rockets a 61% chance, projecting HOU -3.6. The sportsbook market, with the vig removed, has them at 64%.

61%

Rockets win chance, our model

64%

Rockets win chance, market (1 books)

-3 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. The market already prices injuries and news. See expected value.

Team ratings (last season)

	Record	Off rating	Def rating	Net	Pace
Hawks	46-36	114.2 #14	111.9 #11	2.3	103.3 #7
Rockets	52-30	116.0 #9	110.8 #5	5.3	98.2 #29

Ratings are points per 100 possessions. A lower defensive rating is better. Rank in the league next to each number.

Atlanta Hawks: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-24	vs Houston Rockets	L 114-121	+0.5 missed	227.5 over
2026-10-23	at Charlotte Hornets	W 128-81	-2.5 covered	226.5 under
2026-10-21	at Orlando Magic	W 132-125	+2.5 covered	234.5 over
2026-04-30	vs New York Knicks	L 89-140	+2.5 missed	215 over
2026-04-28	at New York Knicks	L 97-126	+6.5 missed	215 over

Houston Rockets: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-24	at Atlanta Hawks	W 121-114	-0.5 covered	227.5 over
2026-10-23	at San Antonio Spurs	W 114-110	+5.5 covered	224.5 under
2026-10-21	vs Dallas Mavericks	W 128-110	-10.5 covered	230.5 over
2026-05-01	vs Los Angeles Lakers	L 78-98	-5.0 missed	204 under
2026-04-29	at Los Angeles Lakers	W 99-93	+3.5 covered	209.5 under

Injuries and absences

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Expected return
ATL	Mouhamed Gueye F	out	2026-11-20
ATL	Henri Veesaar C	out	2027-07-01
HOU	Fred VanVleet G	day-to-day	2026-10-26
HOU	Marcus Smart G	day-to-day	2026-10-26
HOU	Steven Adams C	day-to-day	2026-10-26

Team leaders (last season)

Team	Stat	Player	Per game
ATL	Points	Jalen Johnson	22.5
ATL	Rebounds	Jalen Johnson	10.3
ATL	Assists	Jalen Johnson	7.9
HOU	Points	Kevin Durant	26.0
HOU	Rebounds	Alperen Sengun	8.9
HOU	Assists	Alperen Sengun	6.2

Season series, Hawks vs Rockets

Date	Game	Result
Oct 24, 2026	Rockets at Hawks	Rockets 114-121
Oct 26, 2026	Hawks at Rockets	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PPG	Opp PPG
Atlanta Hawks	2-1	124.7	109.0
Houston Rockets	3-0	121.0	111.3

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Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 2:18 PM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.