NBA / Matchups / Raptors vs Timberwolves

Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves

Next meeting: Sunday, October 25 at 7:00 PM ET. Our model gives Timberwolves a 44% chance, projecting MIN +1.9. The sportsbook market, with the vig removed, has them at 50%.

44%

Timberwolves win chance, our model

50%

Timberwolves win chance, market (9 books)

-6 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. The market already prices injuries and news. See expected value.

Team ratings (last season)

	Record	Off rating	Def rating	Net	Pace
Raptors	46-36	113.9 #15	111.1 #6	2.8	100.1 #21
Timberwolves	49-33	114.6 #12	111.3 #8	3.3	102.5 #10

Ratings are points per 100 possessions. A lower defensive rating is better. Rank in the league next to each number.

Toronto Raptors: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-23	at Washington Wizards	W 112-102	-8.5 covered	236.5 under
2026-10-21	vs Chicago Bulls	W 135-92	-10.5 covered	238.5 under
2026-05-03	at Cleveland Cavaliers	L 102-114	+8.5 missed	209 over
2026-05-01	vs Cleveland Cavaliers	W 112-110	+4.5 covered	218.5 over
2026-04-29	at Cleveland Cavaliers	L 120-125	+9.5 covered	219.5 over

Minnesota Timberwolves: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-23	at Orlando Magic	W 115-93	+1.5 covered	234.5 under
2026-10-21	at Miami Heat	W 131-106	+1.5 covered	240.5 under
2026-05-15	vs San Antonio Spurs	L 109-139	+6.0 missed	219 over
2026-05-12	at San Antonio Spurs	L 97-126	+10.0 missed	218.5 over
2026-05-10	vs San Antonio Spurs	W 114-109	+5.0 covered	219 over

Injuries and absences

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Expected return
TOR	Malachi Smith G	out	–
TOR	Nate Bittle C	out	2026-10-28
MIN	Donte DiVincenzo G	out	2027-04-02

Team leaders (last season)

Team	Stat	Player	Per game
TOR	Points	Kawhi Leonard	27.9
TOR	Rebounds	Scottie Barnes	7.5
TOR	Assists	Immanuel Quickley	5.9
MIN	Points	Anthony Edwards	28.8
MIN	Rebounds	Rudy Gobert	11.5
MIN	Assists	LaMelo Ball	7.1

Season series, Raptors vs Timberwolves

Date	Game	Result
Oct 25, 2026	Raptors at Timberwolves	Upcoming
Jan 7, 2027	Timberwolves at Raptors	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PPG	Opp PPG
Toronto Raptors	2-0	123.5	97.0
Minnesota Timberwolves	2-0	123.0	99.5

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Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 12:18 PM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.