NBA / Matchups / Jazz vs Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz

Next meeting: Sunday, October 25 at 5:00 PM ET. Our model gives Jazz a 28% chance, projecting UTA +7.3. The sportsbook market, with the vig removed, has them at 32%.

28%

Jazz win chance, our model

32%

Jazz win chance, market (10 books)

-4 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. The market already prices injuries and news. See expected value.

Team ratings (last season)

	Record	Off rating	Def rating	Net	Pace
Lakers	53-29	116.2 #8	114.4 #19	1.8	100.0 #22
Jazz	22-60	111.9 #21	119.9 #29	-8.0	104.3 #3

Ratings are points per 100 possessions. A lower defensive rating is better. Rank in the league next to each number.

Los Angeles Lakers: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-23	vs LA Clippers	W 125-117	-8.5 missed	225.5 over
2026-10-21	vs Golden State Warriors	W 127-105	-6.5 covered	233.5 under
2026-05-11	vs Oklahoma City Thunder	L 110-115	+12.5 covered	214.5 over
2026-05-09	vs Oklahoma City Thunder	L 108-131	+9.5 missed	210.5 over
2026-05-07	at Oklahoma City Thunder	L 107-125	+15.5 missed	211.5 over

Utah Jazz: recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
2026-10-23	vs New Orleans Pelicans	W 120-119	-1.5 missed	239.5 under
2026-10-21	at Memphis Grizzlies	L 103-123	+1.5 missed	241.5 under
2026-04-12	at Los Angeles Lakers	L 107-131	+14.5 missed	239 under
2026-04-10	vs Memphis Grizzlies	W 147-101	-4.5 covered	248 push
2026-04-07	at New Orleans Pelicans	L 137-156	+6.5 missed	243 over

Injuries and absences

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Expected return
LAL	Walker Kessler C	available	–
LAL	Adou Thiero G	out	2026-10-27
LAL	Cameron Carr G	out	2026-10-27
UTA	Jusuf Nurkic C	out	2026-11-04
UTA	Harrison Ingram F	out	–
UTA	Trey Alexander G	out	2026-10-26

Team leaders (last season)

Team	Stat	Player	Per game
LAL	Points	Luka Doncic	33.5
LAL	Rebounds	Luka Doncic	7.7
LAL	Assists	Luka Doncic	8.3
UTA	Points	Lauri Markkanen	26.7
UTA	Rebounds	Jusuf Nurkic (out)	10.4
UTA	Assists	Isaiah Collier	7.2

Season series, Jazz vs Lakers

Date	Game	Result
Oct 25, 2026	Lakers at Jazz	Upcoming
Nov 18, 2026	Jazz at Lakers	Upcoming
Nov 23, 2026	Jazz at Lakers	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PPG	Opp PPG
Utah Jazz	1-1	111.5	121.0
Los Angeles Lakers	2-0	126.0	111.0

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Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 12:18 PM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.