Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings
Week 7, Sunday, October 25 at 1:00 PM ET. Our model gives Vikings a 68% chance, projecting MIN -6. The market line is MIN -7 with a total of 41.5.
68%
Vikings win chance, our model
73%
Vikings win chance, market (6 books)
-6 pts
Model minus market
A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.
Line movement
| Opened | Now | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (MIN) | -5.5 | -7 |
| Total | 43.5 | 41.5 |
Weather
Minneapolis, MN. Roof: dome, so weather is not a factor. See the week's forecasts.
Team stats per game
| Record | Points | Allowed | Pass yds | Rush yds | Off EPA | Def EPA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | 2-4 | 24.0 | 27.3 | 215.0 | 111.5 | +0.04 | +0.10 |
| Vikings | 5-0 | 21.8 | 12.8 | 187.6 | 116.0 | -0.09 | -0.17 |
Indianapolis Colts: recent games
| Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tennessee Titans | L 20-26 | -6.5 missed | 43.5 over |
| at Pittsburgh Steelers | L 22-34 | +3 missed | 41.5 over |
| at Washington Commanders | W 30-13 | -4.5 covered | 46.5 under |
| vs Houston Texans | W 19-17 | +1.5 covered | 42.5 under |
| at Kansas City Chiefs | L 30-33 | – | – |
Minnesota Vikings: recent games
| Opponent | Result | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| at New Orleans Saints | W 23-13 | -2.5 covered | 41.5 under |
| vs Miami Dolphins | W 15-10 | -10 missed | 38.5 under |
| at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | W 23-16 | -1.5 covered | 42.5 under |
| at Chicago Bears | W 9-3 | – | – |
| vs Green Bay Packers | W 39-22 | – | – |
Injury report
| Team | Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND | Anthony Gould | Out | concussion |
| IND | CJ Allen | Out | ankle |
| IND | Sauce Gardner | Out | – |
| IND | Tyler Warren | Out | groin |
| IND | Bryce Boettcher | Questionable | – |
| IND | Justin Walley | Questionable | – |
| IND | Sean McKeon | Questionable | – |
| IND | Alec Pierce | IR | heel |
| MIN | Donovan Jackson | IR | knee |
| MIN | Jamal Adams | IR | – |
| MIN | Josh Oliver | IR | biceps |
| MIN | Nick Samac | IR | knee |
| MIN | Tyler Batty | IR | knee |
Previous meetings
| Season | Week | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9 | IND at MIN | 13-21 |
| 2022 | 15 | IND at MIN | 36-39 |
| 2020 | 2 | MIN at IND | 11-28 |
This season: Colts vs Vikings
| Week | Date | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Oct 25, 2026 | Colts at Vikings | Upcoming |
Team snapshots
| Team | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-4 | 144 | 164 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5-0 | 109 | 64 |