NFL / Matchups / Buccaneers vs Falcons

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 8, Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM ET. Our model gives Buccaneers a 50% chance, projecting TB PK. The market line is TB -1.5 with a total of 44.5.

50%

Buccaneers win chance, our model

52%

Buccaneers win chance, market (4 books)

-2 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.

Line movement

	Opened	Now
Spread (TB)	-1.5	-1.5
Total	44.5	44.5

Consensus of 4 sportsbooks. Read how lines move.

Weather

Tampa, FL. No forecast yet. See the week's forecasts.

Team stats per game

	Record	Points	Allowed	Pass yds	Rush yds	Off EPA	Def EPA
Falcons	2-4	23.7 #16	25.5 #23	211.0	149.5	-0.00	-0.01
Buccaneers	1-5	19.8 #25	23.0 #18	186.0	127.8	-0.11	-0.08

EPA is expected points added per play. For the defense, lower is better.

Atlanta Falcons: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
vs Chicago Bears	L 23-31	+1.5 missed	51.5 over
vs Baltimore Ravens	L 23-30	-3.5 missed	43.5 over
at New Orleans Saints	W 45-24	+1 covered	47.5 over
at Green Bay Packers	W 35-14	–	–
vs Carolina Panthers	L 3-34	–	–

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
vs Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-26	+2.5 missed	37.5 over
at Dallas Cowboys	W 24-16	+8.5 covered	48.5 under
vs Green Bay Packers	L 14-17	+2.5 missed	39 under
vs Minnesota Vikings	L 16-23	+1.5 missed	42.5 under
vs Cleveland Browns	L 19-23	–	–

Injury report

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Injury
ATL	Anterio Thompson DT	Out	–
ATL	Billy Bowman Jr. CB	Out	hamstring
ATL	Brian Robinson Jr. RB	Out	hamstring
ATL	Divine Deablo LB	Out	forearm
ATL	Avieon Terrell CB	Questionable	back
ATL	C.J. Henderson CB	Questionable	groin
ATL	Gervon Dexter Sr. DT	Questionable	–
ATL	Kendal Daniels LB	Questionable	neck
TB	Antoine Winfield Jr. S	Out	ribs
TB	Emeka Egbuka WR	Out	concussion
TB	Luke Goedeke OT	Out	calf
TB	Baker Mayfield QB	Questionable	right thumb
TB	Christian Rozeboom LB	IR	finger
TB	Jalen McMillan WR	IR	knee
TB	Josh Hayes CB	IR-R	–
TB	Mohamed Kamara LB	IR	knee

Previous meetings

Season	Week	Game	Score
2025	15	ATL at TB	29-28
2025	1	TB at ATL	23-20
2024	8	ATL at TB	31-26
2024	5	TB at ATL	30-36
2023	14	TB at ATL	29-25

This season: Buccaneers vs Falcons

Week	Date	Game	Result
8	Nov 1, 2026	Falcons at Buccaneers	Upcoming
16	Dec 27, 2026	Buccaneers at Falcons	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PF	PA
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-5	119	138
Atlanta Falcons	2-4	142	153

point spreads · this week's weather · compare sportsbooks

Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.