NFL / Matchups / Broncos vs Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Week 8, Sunday, November 1 at 4:25 PM ET. Our model gives Broncos a 51% chance, projecting DEN -0.2. The market line is DEN +1.5 with a total of 42.5.

51%

Broncos win chance, our model

47%

Broncos win chance, market (4 books)

+4 pts

Model minus market

A gap between the model and the market is a reason to look closer, not a signal to bet. See expected value.

Line movement

	Opened	Now
Spread (DEN)	+1.5	+1.5
Total	42.5	42.5

Consensus of 4 sportsbooks. Read how lines move.

Weather

Denver, CO. No forecast yet. See the week's forecasts.

Team stats per game

	Record	Points	Allowed	Pass yds	Rush yds	Off EPA	Def EPA
Chiefs	5-0	28.0 #5	16.6 #2	261.8	159.8	+0.15	-0.07
Broncos	4-2	19.0 #26	20.8 #11	174.8	84.2	-0.06	-0.01

EPA is expected points added per play. For the defense, lower is better.

Kansas City Chiefs: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
vs Los Angeles Chargers	W 22-6	-7.5 covered	41.5 under
at Las Vegas Raiders	W 30-27	-5.5 missed	47 over
at Miami Dolphins	W 24-10	-9.5 covered	45 under
vs Indianapolis Colts	W 33-30	–	–
vs Denver Broncos	W 31-10	–	–

Denver Broncos: recent games

Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
vs Seattle Seahawks	W 17-14	+2.5 covered	40.5 under
at Los Angeles Chargers	W 23-17	-3.5 covered	42 under
at San Francisco 49ers	L 14-24	+3 missed	48.5 under
vs Los Angeles Rams	W 30-26	+1 covered	44 over
vs Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-13	–	–

Injury report

Compiled from official league injury reports and beat reporters. Statuses change often and some entries are reports, not confirmations. Check the team's final report before game time.

Team	Player	Status	Injury
KC	Jaylon Moore OT	Out	–
KC	Rashee Rice WR	Out	hamstring/knee
KC	L'Jarius Sneed CB	Questionable	knee
KC	Brashard Smith RB	IR	hamstring
KC	Ethan Downs LB	IR	downs
KC	Jeff Caldwell WR	IR	knee
KC	Jimmy Holiday WR	IR	undisclosed
KC	John Michael Gyllenborg TE	IR	–
DEN	Talanoa Hufanga S	Out	ankle
DEN	Jonah Coleman RB	Questionable	ankle
DEN	Pat Surtain II CB	Questionable	ankle
DEN	Caleb Lohner TE	IR-R	lower body
DEN	Frank Crum OT	IR-R	undisclosed
DEN	Jonah Elliss LB	IR	ankle
DEN	Levelle Bailey LB	IR	leg
DEN	Matt Henningsen DE	IR	–

Previous meetings

Season	Week	Game	Score
2026	1	DEN at KC	10-31
2025	17	DEN at KC	20-13
2025	11	KC at DEN	19-22
2024	18	KC at DEN	0-38
2024	10	DEN at KC	14-16

This season: Broncos vs Chiefs

Week	Date	Game	Result
1	Sep 14, 2026	Broncos at Chiefs	Chiefs 10-31
8	Nov 1, 2026	Chiefs at Broncos	Upcoming

Team snapshots

Team	Record	PF	PA
Denver Broncos	4-2	114	125
Kansas City Chiefs	5-0	140	83

point spreads · this week's weather · compare sportsbooks

Source: Oddsloft projections and archived sportsbook prices. Page built Oct 25, 2026, 2:18 PM ET. Information only, not betting advice. Responsible gambling.